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El Paso Crime Analysis: Unmasking the Data

By Lewis Loflin | Published May 13, 2025

Introduction: The Hidden Truth in Crime Stats

Crime statistics in Texas are often manipulated to support open-border narratives, hiding the higher crime rates of illegal aliens. In El Paso, a city praised for its low crime (150 per 100,000) and assimilated Hispanic majority (81.6%), this distortion is less impactful due to a small White population (18.4%). But statewide, lumping high-crime Black individuals into native averages and misclassifying Hispanic crimes as “White” obscures the truth. This page unmasks the data, focusing on reason over hype.

El Paso’s Low Crime Reality: Assimilation Works

El Paso (pop. 678,000) has a violent crime rate of 150 per 100,000 and a homicide rate of 2.4 per 100,000 (FBI UCR, 2021), one of America’s lowest. With 81.6% Hispanic residents (553,000), mostly assimilated Mexican-Americans, the city’s success stems from cultural integration—shared values like work and law. Their crime rate (150 per 100,000) is lower than Whites (225 per 100,000), a ratio of 0.67.

However, 52.8% of Hispanic crimes (438 of 830) are counted as “White,” inflating the White rate from 225 to 504 per 100,000, making Hispanics appear far less criminal (0.3 times the “White” rate). With Whites at only 18.4% (124,000), this doesn’t skew El Paso’s overall stats, but it hides the assimilation success story in broader comparisons.

Texas-Wide Lumping: Hiding Illegal Alien Crime

Texas-wide (pop. 29.5 million), the distortion is worse. Of 115,000 violent crimes (2021), 63% (72,450) are attributed to “Whites,” but this includes Hispanics. With 33,800 Hispanic crimes, 17,846 are misclassified as “White,” inflating the non-Hispanic White rate from 225 to 459 per 100,000. Meanwhile, lumping Black individuals (36.8% of crimes) into the native-born average (300 per 100,000) drops the non-Black native rate to 276 per 100,000.

Illegal aliens (1.6 million) have a crime rate of 400–500 per 100,000, 1.45–1.81 times higher than non-Black natives, 1.78–2.22 times higher than Whites (225 per 100,000), and 1.61–2.02 times higher than native Hispanics (248 per 100,000). In El Paso, their rate may be closer to 300 per 100,000, still 1.33 times Whites and 2 times Hispanics. This lumping supports open-border narratives by understating illegal alien crime impacts.

Transparency matters: Texas DPS data (2011–2025) shows 323,000 illegal noncitizen arrests, including 151 homicides, often tied to gangs like MS-13 and Tren de Aragua. Hiding this fuels misleading narratives.

Conclusion: Demand Transparent Data

El Paso’s low crime (150 per 100,000) reflects assimilation success, but misclassifying Hispanic crimes as “White” distorts comparisons, especially Texas-wide, where it hides illegal alien crime rates (400–500 per 100,000). Lumping Black individuals into native averages further obscures the truth, supporting open-border agendas. We need transparent data—separating racial and legal status groups—to inform policy and protect communities. Explore more at BristolBlog.com or join the conversation on X.