Not So Hot: Climate Change Model Failed Again

In the 1990s, virtually all climate models predicted warming from 2000-2010, but the new data confirm that so far there has been no warming trend in this decade for the U.S. Whoops.

According to the Wall Street Journal a "revision in data at NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies, indicating that the warmest year on record for the U.S. was not 1998, but rather 1934 (by 0.02 of a degree Celsius)...These temperature mistakes were only for the U.S.; their net effect was to lower the average temperature reading from 2000-2006 by 0.15C.

Environmentalists claim six of the ten hottest years have occurred since 1990 as does Al Gore's book. They have also adopted the tactics Al was writing about. The new data presents a problem. To continue, "NASA now says six of the 10 warmest years were in the 1930s and 1940s, and that was before the bulk of industrial CO2 emissions were released into the atmosphere." Goddard and NASA under the control of extremists like Dr. James Hansen went into immediate damage control.

"NASA officials say the revisions are insignificant and should not be "used by [global warming] critics to muddy the debate." NASA scientist Gavin Schmidt notes that, despite the revisions, the period 2002-2006 is still warmer for the U.S. than 1930-1934, and both periods are slightly cooler than 1998-2002." Ok Gavin says 1930-34 so which is it? As the Journal notes,

"It's also not clear that the 0.15 degree temperature revision is as trivial as NASA insists. Total U.S. warming since 1920 has been about 0.21 degrees Celsius. This means that a 0.15 error for recent years is more than two-thirds the observed temperature increase for the period of warming...In the 1990s, virtually all climate models predicted warming from 2000-2010, but the new data confirm that so far there has been no warming trend in this decade for the U.S. Whoops..."

And I'm sitting in Bristol, Virginia as the local news channel claims record cold. Those "simulation models" are the basis of this global warming hype and they are just flat-out wrong and to quote, "that Al Gore and the media repeat time and again. We may soon be basing multi-trillion dollar policy decisions on computer models whose accuracy we already know to be less than stellar." The Journal also noted a double standard when it comes to global warming claims. This got out on the internet, not mainstream news media.

So far this year NASA has issued at least five press releases that could be described as alarming on the pace of climate change. But the correction of its overestimate of global warming was merely posted on the agency's Web site. James Hansen, NASA's ubiquitous climate scientist and a man who has charged that the Bush Administration is censoring him on global warming, has been unapologetic about NASA's screw up. He claims that global warming skeptics -- "court jesters," he calls them -- are exploiting this incident to "confuse the public about the status of knowledge of global climate change, thus delaying effective action to mitigate climate change."

This same idiot was calling for criminal prosecution (note inquisition) against global warming deniers.

Ref. http://online.wsj.com/article_email/SB118835472067611877-lMyQjAxMDE3ODI4OTMyNTk0Wj.html

When the Warmest in History Isn't by Debra J. Saunders December 01, 2008. Al's headaches just seem to continue. As Debra notes,

When it comes to global warming, newspapers play up stories that reinforce the prevalent the-sky-is-falling belief that global warming is human-caused and catastrophic. But if a study or scientist does not portend the end of the world as we know it, it rarely rates as news...many papers (including The Chronicle) have reported on a UC San Diego science historian who reviewed 928 abstracts of peer-reviewed articles on global warming published between 1993 and 2003, and concluded, "Remarkably, none of the papers disagreed with the consensus position."

She is correct when she states, "Over 10 years, not one study challenged the orthodoxy -- does that sound right to you? If that were true, it would strongly suggest that, despite conflicting evidence in this wide and changing world, no scientist dares challenge the politically correct position on the issue."

It's not even science anymore; it's anti-science

As she notes,

David Bellamy -- an Australian botanist who was involved in some 400 TV productions, only to see his TV career go south after he questioned global warming orthodoxy -- wrote in The Australian last week, "It's not even science anymore; it's anti-science." Bellamy notes that official data show that "in every year since 1998, world temperatures have been getting colder, and in 2002 Arctic ice actually increased." Exhibit B: Richard S. Lindzen, the MIT Alfred P. Sloan Professor of Atmospheric Sciences, recently wrote, "There has been no warming since 1997 and no statistically significant warming since 1995."

The Global Warming Petition Project urges Washington to reject the Kyoto international global warming pact as there is "no convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide, methane, or other greenhouse gases is causing or will, in the foreseeable future, cause catastrophic heating of the Earth's atmosphere and disruption of the Earth's climate." So far, The Politico reports, more than 31,000 scientists have signed it.

She also noted the NASA screw-up and got her share of denials; (a NASA hack) chalked them up to "cherry picking" data and, far more important are the long-term trends." It is hard as she says to see Goddard as objective when its director, James Hansen. testified in a London court in September in support of six eco-vandals. A jury then acquitted the six eco-terrorists on charges of vandalizing a British coal-fired power plant.

By the way, those "long-term trends" didn't predict the record cold of 2008.

The Global Warming Petition Project

What does Al Gore say about the science behind global warming? "As it happens, the idea of social justice is inextricably linked in the Scriptures with ecology."

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